Bread and peace: how presidential elections really get decided. Douglas Hibbs’s ‘Bread and Peace index’ only looks at per capita real personal disposable income (RPDI) growth and military fatalities. It’s fairly accurate, as you can see below. Based on Barry’s record as of 3Q 2011, the index predicts NObama in 2013 (44.1% of the vote.)
{ 5 comments… read them below or add one }
Rated Awesome! What do you think?
9 
0
This whole cycle feels 1980-ish. The polls have Obama in this thing, and will likely show him in a commanding lead come late September/early October.
Guess we’ll see how riled Americans really are on election day. Hopefully, we’ll be leaving Obama feeling Carter-esque.
Like or Dislike:
4 
0
I was just thinking the same thing. That 1980 dot looks an awful lot like what I expect to see this year. Notice the difference between the 1980 and 1984 dots. Quite a change between sentiment toward Carter and Reagan.
Like or Dislike:
5 
0
Its not bread and peace, its bread and circuses.
Like or Dislike:
4 
0
Yep, and this administration’s got ‘em BOTH!!!
They have other peoples’ bread, and they *are* the circus.
Like or Dislike:
4 
0
Exactly…lol.