Earth Day predictions of 1970. The reason you shouldn’t believe Earth Day predictions of 2009.

by editor on April 22, 2009

Luckily, we haven't run out of oil, but have exhausted our supply of 70s fashion.

Luckily, we haven't run out of oil, but we have exhausted our supply of 70s fashion.

For the next 24 hours, the media will assault us with tales of imminent disaster that always accompany the annual Earth Day Doom & Gloom Extravaganza.

Ignore them. They’ll be wrong. We’re confident in saying that because they’ve always been wrong. And always will be.

Need proof? Here are some of the hilarious, spectacularly wrong predictions made on the occasion of Earth Day 1970.

“We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”
• Kenneth Watt, ecologist

“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
• George Wald, Harvard Biologist

We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation.”
• Barry Commoner, Washington University biologist

“Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”
• New York Times editorial, the day after the first Earth Day

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
• Life Magazine, January 1970

“At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

Stanford's Paul Ehrlich announces that the sky is falling.

Stanford's Paul Ehrlich announces that the sky is falling.

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“We are prospecting for the very last of our resources and using up the nonrenewable things many times faster than we are finding new ones.”
• Martin Litton, Sierra Club director

“By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.'”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
• Sen. Gaylord Nelson

“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

Keep these predictions in mind when you hear the same predictions made today. They’ve been making the same predictions for 39 years. And they’re going to continue making them until…well…forever.

Here we are, 39 years later and the economy sucks, but the ecology’s fine. In fact this planet is doing a lot better than the planet on which those green lunatics live.

You’ll also enjoy (or hate) our article, 25 Global Warming Debunking Videos Al Gore Doesn’t Want You To See.

Update: Earth Day 2010 version.

Source: Reason.com

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KathyMary
Guest

Bravo Craig – I didn’t want to get into the details but you did great. My point was more general – I am still here, this civilization is here, things have pretty much remained the same, human populations have not yet stabilized on all continents. I suspect that the environmentalists (of the future) are going to do the same thing Biblical Christians sometimes do when they are predict the end of the world but it doesn’t manifest – keep moving the date further and further into the future,
If you want do some research about end-time predictions do some research about Europe 1000 AD and the belief that the world was going to end that year – the church grew rich with all the land and money the European aristocracy gave them to buy their way into heaven. These modern Scientific prophets are playing the same Game, but no god.

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[…] Earth Day 1970 Just for some perspective. How much should you trust the "experts"? Earth Day predictions of 1970. The reason you shouldn’t believe Earth Day predictions of 2009. __________________ I don’t need an […]

Craig
Guest
Craig

“So wait, which of these didn’t come true? Taken in context, most of these quotes are so dead on, its scary. ”

Here they are, in order. I’ve labeled the ones that indisputably turned out to be pure, childish alarmism. Which ones am I wrong on?

“We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”
• Kenneth Watt, ecologist

BULLSHIT

“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
• George Wald, Harvard Biologist

BULLSHIT

“We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation.”
• Barry Commoner, Washington University biologist

BULLSHIT

“Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”
• New York Times editorial, the day after the first Earth Day

Of course. Hard to argue with that.

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

BULLSHIT

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

BULLSHIT

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

BULLSHIT

“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

BULLSHIT

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
• Life Magazine, January 1970

BULLSHIT

“At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

BULLSHIT

“We are prospecting for the very last of our resources and using up the nonrenewable things many times faster than we are finding new ones.”
• Martin Litton, Sierra Club director

BULLSHIT at the time, but maybe true 39 years later with respect to liquid fuels.

“By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

BULLSHIT

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
• Sen. Gaylord Nelson

BULLSHIT

“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

BULLSHIT

KathyMary
Guest

Dee Mac — I look at kids today with their tattoos and wonder if they understand that they will be paying the toll at the gate of time soon enough and that all that is pretty/handsome and taunt now is going to be flabby and falling in 20-30 years? LOL
It reminds me of us, scary isn’t it.. ?? and those baggy clothes they wear?
—and then I laugh and realize I sound exactly like my long -deceased father!
I really admire you. Darn, that is brave -prying open young minds! I thought about it as a kid – love history – but my family needed me and I served them well into my 20s. I never really did get much education past HS. I am mostly self-educated to this day. (hey remember leisure suits, mini skirts? ) LOL
I am glad to lighten your day about aging and age. I got the kneel and the left shoulder to deal with. Darn they hurt on rainy days! Where did our youth go?
I bought the first round of environmentalism but it went political and got mean-spirited. I do all the usual things to take care of my 1/4 acre, but I refuse to buy the kool-aid this time around.

KathyMary
Guest

Eh maybe some of the quotes were close, but they keep telling us we are five minutes from extinction and those who remember the first time on this merry-go-round are rather skeptical, Sam and Kage. And it didn’t get cooler – it got hotter – at least up the 1980s – now, I understand the sun is not building up to its maximum activity. – no sunspots at all. And scientists claim that man has more effect on the climate than the sun?We are cooling – again. Why?
Go ahead – go back to the middle ages, if you want, I personally hate outhouses and going to bed at sundown because I can’t afford or don’t have electric lights. I don’t want to be stuck in the small radius of where I can walk to in a few hours . I personally wonder if modern environmentalists don’t just plain hate mankind and want US to go extinct.
READ some history. Read about grapes growing in England during the time of the Romans. Read about the Dark ages dip in population and the cold temps. The High Middle Ages and the flowering of Western culture and the building of the Cathedrals during a time of higher temps, the colonization of Greenland by the Vikings (and how the last ones died out- guess when – post 1300) . Read about post 1300 and how for 500 years (up to 1850) the population of Europe was flat-lining and they got hit with first starvation and then endless hits by plagues, social upheavals of various sorts.. (mostly, The PLAGUE)because of colder temps.
I expect all the kids, today, that environmentalists are scaring (how to say this, politely?) will be talking in 2048 about how they are still on the earth. Did we really really do all the scientists wanted us to do back in 1970? Hell no, gentlemen! Our population has only grown. Those who took them seriously and didn’t have children now realize that it was mostly, if not, all doomsday hype.
Should we get smarter about how we use energy and natural resources, yes. but solar and wind are not going to save the planet or our civilization. I’ve already read articles about birds perishing cut in two by the blades of windmills and desert animals being threatened by solar ‘farms’. Only fission and fusion (energy) are going to do save (us) and keep the lights on for everyone and my bath water hot. As for the third world, the most arrogant thing the environmentalists have done is slow down third world industrialization and technological advancement. People die because it. There should be a special hell for arrogant snobs who save planets by killing children in the poorest countries on Earth.

What I dislike most about the modern environmental movement is that it is scaring another generation of children *^%$ just as I was scared. — I grew up during the cold war and dreamed endlessly about being vaporized. Then the environmentalists said we were doomed because of the very civilization we had just built! Scaring children is just plain mean-spirited yet Al Gore’s film is force-fed to kids.
The other thing I do not like is the subversion of science. Science isn’t religion.
I don’t trust scientists who act like high-priests, making pronouncements from on high that we must believe or we are ostracized.They are making their livelihood acting like prophets. What other things besides mankind’s civilization effect the climate ? Do they really, in just 100 years of doing the science, understand all they need to know about Earth’s climate cycles?Is this a real emergency or is something we calmly study for the next 100 years or so? Could we, just by chance, be overreacting ?Is it true, for instance, that the models that they are using don’t take cloud cover into account?
Do scientists and environmentalists really want go back the bad old days of pre-industrialization or does it just sound like it?

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[…] Earth Day = BullSh!T Some of these are very funny… Earth Day predictions of 1970. The reason you shouldn’t believe Earth Day predictions of 2009. __________________ […]

Sam T
Guest
Sam T

This article is a miss-representation of the purpose and the pragmatic ideas of the quotes. The basic linguistic structure of these quotes is: if we don’t do X, Y will happen. And they’re mostly right, but, we have done X to some degree and Y has not happened to the degree expected, which makes it seem like the quotes are wrong. We have made significant improvements in our energy efficiency, and environmental destruction has happened (75% of all bird species have become extinct) but you can’t see it because these negative effects have been externalized to developing countries. The basic link here is technology, and how it saved our ass, but the important questions is, how long will it continue to this? if you think technology is boundless and the cycle we have pretty much been through so far can be repeated forever then you’re a Prometean or Cornucopian when it comes to resource management. However, there are several reasons to believe the contrary….

Kage
Guest
Kage

So wait, which of these didn’t come true? Taken in context, most of these quotes are so dead on, its scary. The fact that Kenneth Watt was discredited quickly does not mean that the others aren’t accurate, so that’s kind of a flimsy argument.

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[…] Predictions from Earth Day 1970.  Via I Hate The Media, via Urbin Report, via Ed […]

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[…] what all these loons said back in 1970: “We have about five more years at the outside to do something.” • Kenneth Watt, […]

Dee Mac
Member
Dee Mac

KathyMary,

Thanks for the compliment – no body has called me young in about two decades! My kids are pretty sure I was never young. I too had the scary 70 wardrobe with Ditto jeans (the seam all the way up the legs and around the butt to make it even bigger). I stood up in High School and declared that the coming global cooling was a crock! Then when we began hearing about Global warming, I knew they were all up to something.

My dad believed that we are stewards of the earth and as such, responsible to do all we could to protect our resources. But, he argued with the growing religion of Man Made causes of so called climate change. He thought the Sun had something to do with climate. With a teacher like that in the house I could not help but grow up skeptical of anything claiming to be science, but without verification.

Now days I make my living prying open the minds of public school students. They learn day one that I am different, and they are in for a real eye opening experience. That is why I was shocked to get an Earth Day card – most of them know I don’t buy the rhetoric.

Thanks again for the kind words, they will comfort me later tonight when my knees are aching, and my back hurts!

KathyMary
Guest

PS Dee Mac
VERY few people are strong enough (in themselves) to go against the major dogmas/doctrines of their time and place – it takes a rare moral courage and a willingness to stand against the majority.

KathyMary
Guest

And Dee Mac – it’s called brain washing.. everyone around you believes the same same thing and you hear it constantly until you believe it also; all your contemporaries,your parents, teachers, on fictional TV shows, celebrities you admire, the news and on the net – it becomes normal or the norm. It becomes a religion – a doctrine – belief-system, world view, dogma… if you don’t agree you are ostracized just like Prejean, or Giordano Bruno or heck, Socrates. (if you are really lucky they just take a glass crown from you – not your life!)
The list of dissenters is both long and glorious. A truly brain-washed person will not even know that dissenters exist.
PS —Science should not be about belief.

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[…] Half-Baked Sourdough Sourdough: Alaskan Old-Timer, Long on Opinions, Short on Social Skills « A Prediction And An Observation I’ll Bet You Thought I Forgot Earth Day… April 22, 2009 You’d be wrong. I have my burn barrel loaded with cardboard and stuff and am ready to torch it off. And, in view of the fact that this is the 34th Annual event, I give you a retrospective link. Read it and laugh. […]

KathyMary
Guest

Hey, dee Mac – you have got to be young … you should have seen some of the things that we wore back when. The 60’s-70’s were the absolute worse fashion decades since the the late 1600’s !! I had a dress with a giant yellow man’s tie silk-screened .. god, help me ! the nightmares! Fashion only improved by the late 70’s -somewhat.
And if I offered any thing worth your notice, please feel free to use it class and please, please reassure them that I was just as scared as they are and I am now 57 and completely skeptical. (and the world hasn’t ended YET.)

Dee Mac
Member
Dee Mac

Oh, almost forgot – the picture is downright scary! Which ones are the administrators? My guess is for sure the yellow pants, awesome hat and chest hair combo is the chief around here. Am I right?

Dee Mac
Member
Dee Mac

Thanks guys for the pep talk. Today one of my students gave me a hand-made Happy Earth Day card. Where, oh where did I go wrong?

Tomorrow we will be examining some of these statements – IN CLASS!!!!

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[…] Earth Day predictions of 1970. The reason you shouldn’t believe Earth Day predictions of 2009. I found this piece looking for more quotes similar to those Glenn Beck was doing when he ran out of time. These were found HERE […]

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[…] Day predictions of 1970. Earth Day predictions of 1970 […]

KathyMary
Guest

Kevin, Earth will be here long after man is gone. If we really harm her she will destroy us like a bunch of ants my heel. If liberals really believe that we are running out resources why don’t they advocate space travel? Mine the planets and asteroids for minerals. I say mine the earth-crossing asteroids – they could destroy us. Lets spend money not on solar and wind energy (very limited) but on perfecting fusion – the power of the stars.
Thanks, Administrator – will do.

Kevin
Guest

“We are prospecting for the very last of our resources and using up the nonrenewable things many times faster than we are finding new ones.”
• Martin Litton, Sierra Club director

That one may actually be correct. I had to dig a pit for a barbecue last weekend, and I found exactly ZERO ounces of gold in the dirt I dug. Based on that rather small study, I’m claiming that the Earth is completely devoid of gold. We used it all. WHY DIDN’T WE THINK ABOUT WHAT WE WERE DOING!

Administrator
Guest
Administrator

KathyMary,

Watch at the last video of our 12 Global Warming Debunking Videos today, the one by Michael Chrchton, called “State of Fears.” It addresses more generally all the fears pushed on us. Very interesting and entertaining 50 minute video.

KathyMary
Guest

You know what really hurts? I am old enough to remember all these quotes and when they were originally uttered I accepted them. I remember very well about the ice age predictions. Didn’t happen did it ?
Listen, these scientists are nothing more than High Priests. They want to control people so they scare them them into submission. They don’t believe in God or heaven or hell so its the environment – something big enough to punish us for our multitudinous sins. I left the Catholic Church to escape the endless talk of punishment – so out in in the world it comes from the priest-kings of modern environmentalism. And they have political clout! (and there is no confession!)

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[…] Day Predictions from 1970 From I Hate the Media, here are actual quotes from the first celebration of Lenin’s Birthday back in […]

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[…] Earth Day predictions of 1970. The reason you shouldn’t believe Earth Day predictions of 2009 […]

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