Tag: hurricanes

Al Gore, laughingstock: A look back at his hurricane predictions

Hard to believe, but it was a mere six years ago the Goracle descended from on high to warn mankind that global warming would inevitably lead to more hurricanes and stronger hurricanes.

Hard to believe, but it was a mere six years ago the Goracle descended from on high to warn mankind that global warming would inevitably lead to more hurricanes and stronger hurricanes.

He foresaw nothing but death and destruction and a little more jingly in his pocket.

al-gore-goracle
Al Gore descended to earth to warn mankind. And to make a few bucks in the process.

CommonDreams.org quotes the Goracle back in 2005:

… the science is extremely clear now, that warmer oceans make the average hurricane stronger, not only makes the winds stronger, but dramatically increases the moisture from the oceans evaporating into the storm – thus magnifying its destructive power – makes the duration, as well as the intensity of the hurricane, stronger.

Last year we had a lot of hurricanes. Last year, Japan set an all-time record for typhoons: ten, the previous record was seven. Last year the science textbooks had to be re-written. They said, “It’s impossible to have a hurricane in the south Atlantic.” We had the first one last year, in Brazil. We had an all-time record last year for tornadoes in the United States, 1,717 – largely because hurricanes spawned tornadoes.

Don’t look now, Al, but Anthony Watts reports that your prediction was about 180 degrees off. Hurricane activity is now near an all-time low.

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.

Furthermore, when each storm’s intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.

Paging Al Gore. Paging Al Gore. The 2011 hurricane season started June 1. Has anyone seen Al Gore lately?

H/T: Andrew Bolt

Goracle comes up empty: Hurricane activity at record low

Albert Gore, Jr., the so-called Goracle, predicted that global warming would make the record 2005 hurricane season seem like the good ol’ days. Hurricanes, according to Gore, were going to get more powerful and more frequent.

Albert Gore, Jr., the so-called Goracle, predicted that global warming would make the record 2005 hurricane season seem like the good ol’ days. Hurricanes, according to Gore, were going to get more powerful and more frequent.

As Florida State University reports, Gore couldn’t have been more wrong:

Update: Current Year-to-Date analysis of Northern Hemisphere and Global Tropical Cyclone Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) AND Power Dissipation Index (PDI) has fallen even further than during the previous 3-years. The global inactivity is at 33-year lows and historical where Typhoons form in the Western Pacific.

While the North Atlantic has seen 15 tropical storms/hurricanes of various intensity, the Pacific basin as a whole is at historical lows! In the Western North Pacific stretching from Guam to Japan and the Philippines and China, the current ACE value of 48 is the lowest seen since reliable records became available (1945) and is 78% below normal*. The next lowest was an ACE of 78 in 1998. See figure below for visual evidence of the past 40-years of tropical cyclone activity.

Far be it from us to be skeptical, but has even one of Gore’s Inconvenient Truth predictions come true?

Simple fact is, there only one thing right now showing less energy than worldwide hurricanes – Democrat voters.

hurricane-activity

Source: Florida State University

Here comes the annual “This is going to be a bad hurricane season” prediction

If there’s one thing we’ve learned in recent years, it’s that hurricanes aren’t very predictable, but hurricane prognosticators are. Year in and year out, the “experts” predict that this will be a major hurricane season.

hurricane-prediction-2010
Hurricane prognosticators once again find themselves at the eye of the storm

If there’s one thing we’ve learned in recent years, it’s that hurricanes aren’t very predictable, but hurricane prognosticators are.

Year in and year out, the “experts” predict that this will be a major hurricane season. As Reuters reports, his year is no different:

The Atlantic storm season could produce as many as 14 hurricanes this year, the U.S. government’s top climate agency predicted on Thursday, setting the scene for potentially the most intense season since 2005.

In its first forecast for the storm season that begins next Tuesday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast 14 to 23 named storms, with 8 to 14 developing into hurricanes, making it one of the most active ever.

Three to 7 of those could be major Category 3 or above hurricanes, with winds of more than 110 miles per hour (177 km per hour), the agency said, echoing earlier predictions from meteorologists for a particularly severe season that could disrupt U.S. oil, gas and refinery operations in the Gulf of Mexico.

Sooner or later, the “experts” have to be right. But we are issuing our official annual prediction that this won’t be the year.

Source: Reuters

2009 hurricane season and Al Gore’s credibility expire simultaneously

Sadly, Gore’s credibility peaked in 2005 and so did hurricanes. The Atlantic hurricane season ended today after producing the fewest named storms in 12 years. It was the first time in three years that no hurricane struck the U.S. mainland.

2009-hurricane-season

An Inconvenient Truth, Al Gore’s Academy Award-winning science fiction movie, attempted to scare the bejeebers out of you by claiming that global warming would inevitably lead to increased frequency and intensity of hurricanes.

Sadly, Gore’s credibility peaked in 2005 and so did hurricanes.

As Bloomberg reported on December 1:

Atlantic Hurricane Season Has Fewest Named Storms in 12 Years

The Atlantic hurricane season ended today after producing the fewest named storms in 12 years. It was the first time in three years that no hurricane struck the U.S. mainland.

The story continued:

The calmer season was expected and reflected the development of a mid-year eastern Pacific warming pattern called El Nino, said Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, in Camp Springs, Maryland.

Unfortunately, the Insurance Journal reported a different reality: In its December (2008) forecast, the Colorado State University team predicted 14 named storms. That included seven hurricanes and three big ass major hurricanes.

Ahhh, but alas. It was not to be.

In reality, the 2009 season that ended as December began saw storms that barely qualified as storms. It featured storms that formed and dissipated so quickly that it’s almost surprising they were even noticed. We even had a couple oddball storms that formed far north of the typical hurricane track. It was the first time in several years in which no hurricanes hit the United States. And we even had a late hurricane that barely qualified as one. To sum it all up, 2009 was one of the quietest hurricane seasons in decades.

And so we simultaneously bid a fond adieu to the 2009 hurricane season and to Albert Gore’s tattered credibility.

We know there will be another hurricane season in 2010, but the return of Gore’s credibility is far less certain.

Source: Bloomberg, Insurance Journal

Where have all the hurricanes gone, Al?

Contrary to everything they told us during the record high hurricane season of 2005, hurricanes have not gotten more frequent and have not become more intense. It’s just the opposite, in fact.

atlantic_ace

This is not the kind of news that sets global warming scaremongers’ hearts aflutter:

Contrary to everything they told us during the record high hurricane season of 2005, hurricanes have not gotten more frequent and have not become more intense. It’s just the opposite, in fact.

No hurricanes, Al. Just another beautiful day in paradise.
No hurricanes, Al. Just another beautiful day in paradise.

Here’s how the Florida State University Center for Ocean-Atmosphere Prediction Studies reports the details:

The North Atlantic hurricane season has not produced a storm in over 3-weeks and, if no more develop, the season overall would rank as the slowest since the El Nino year of 1997. Hurricanes Bill and Fred accounted for over 82% of the Accumulated Cyclone Energy [ACE**] — a metric that combines intensity, duration, and frequency of hurricanes and tropical storms during a year. The remaining storms were weak, rather short-lived and unremarkable. Indeed, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy [ACE] of 44 ranks among the slowest during the past half-century.

Sure, say the skeptics, hurricanes may be down in the North Atlantic, but what about the rest of the world. Surely, frequency and intensity have increased elsewhere.

We hate to be bearers of bad news, but no, that’s not the case.

Continue reading “Where have all the hurricanes gone, Al?”

Two sources of hot air blowing into Martha’s Vineyard on Sunday

What rotten luck. Now it looks like Hurricane Bill may blow ashore ion Martha’s Vineyard at about the same time the President touches down for his sorely needed vacation. Weather forecasters say this double onslaught of hot air is unprecedented.

Picture 2 What rotten luck. Now it looks like Hurricane Bill may blow ashore on Martha’s Vineyard at about the same time the President touches down for his sorely needed vacation.

Weather forecasters say this double onslaught of hot air is unprecedented.

Global Warming Update
Season’s first three storms given incorrect names

The National Hurricane Center has named them Ana, Bill, and Claudette, but we think the names should be reconsidered. They should be AlGore, Barack and Carter. Here’s why.

Hurricanes - Week 11

It’s party time at Goracle HQ. Ten weeks and five days into hurricane season and we finally have the season’s first tropical storm. In fact, we have three of them at the same time.

The National Hurricane Center has named them Ana, Bill, and Claudette, but we think the names should be reconsidered.

The first storm of the season should have been named Algore instead of Ana. It started with lots of bluster and looks like it will eventually peter out in Florida.

The second storm should have been named Barack instead of Bill. It sprang to life somewhere far outside the United States, is marked by a lot of hot air, but doesn’t look like it’s really going to do very much. Nevertheless, it will dominate the television news.

Finally, the third storm should have been named Carter instead of Claudette. It came in from the south and proved to be far weaker than anyone ever anticipated.

Looking forward a few weeks, we anticipate Hurricane Hillary being a dark and angry storm, capable of inflicting major damage to anything in the path of its destruction.

Source: National Hurricane Center

Global Warming Update
Quietest start to hurricane season in 32 years

The 2009 hurricane season now qualifies as the quietest hurricane season in 32 years and the fourth quietest in the last 50 years. What happened to Al Gore’s global warming?

hurricane-season
Update: Excitement is running rampant at the Gore compound. We may be getting close to our first storm of the season. According to the National Hurricane Center, that orange #1 off the coast of Africa has a 30-50% chance of becoming a tropical storm during the next 48 hours. Would someone please inform Al Gore.

The suicide alert at Al Gore’s house has gone to Level Red. While the Goracle insisted that global warming would bring us more and more destructive hurricanes, the reality has been considerably different.

We’ve now completed the first ten weeks of 2009’s hurricane season and we’ve not yet had a hurricane. Nor a tropical storm. Nor a tropical depression.
Continue reading “Global Warming Update
Quietest start to hurricane season in 32 years”

Duh! U.S. forecasters finally get around to predicting mild Atlantic hurricane season

This is the quietest start to hurricane season in nearly two decades. The last time the first storm formed as late as August 5 was way back in 1992.

Ahhhh, this global warming feels great.
Ahhhh, this global warming feels great.

As we’ve been reporting every Monday morning, this is the quietest Atlantic hurricane season in years. So far we haven’t had a single tropical depression, storm nor hurricane.

So three months after issuing its last hurricane prediction, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration finally accepted reality and updated its 2009 forecast. Its new prediction is for a below-normal to near-normal season with seven to 11 named tropical storms. That’s down from a range of nine to 14 in the May forecast.
Continue reading “Duh! U.S. forecasters finally get around to predicting mild Atlantic hurricane season”

Global Warming Update
Nine weeks of hurricane season gone. We’ve had zip, zilch, zero. Which also describes Al Gore’s credibility.

Al Gore is a liar. A sad, pathetic liar who’s made a fortune playing Chicken Little on global warming. Nine full weeks into official hurricane season and no hurricanes, not even a tropical storm.

hurricane-center-map-week-nine Al Gore is a liar. A sad, pathetic liar who’s made a fortune playing Chicken Little.

Well, that pretty much sums it up. Nine full weeks into official hurricane season and the weather is determined to reveal the magnitude of Gore’s prevarications. 63 long, calm days deep into hurricane season and we’ve had not a single hurricane. Not a single tropical storm. Not even a single tropical depression.

In the record-setting year of 2005, we had already had eight storms by this date. In the remarkably quiet year of 2006, we’d had three. In the average year of 2007, we’d had three. And in the average year of 2008, we’d had five.

If Al Gore is feeling warmer, it’s only because his pet theory is going down in flames.

Source: National Hurricane Center

Global Warming Update
Week 8 of hurricane season: Still no hurricanes, Gore still full of crap

Global Warming Update: Week 8 of hurricane season 2009: Still no hurricanes, Al Gore still full of crap

hurricane-seasosn-2

Same ol’, same ol’. No tropical depressions, no tropical storms, no hurricanes.

In the record-setting year of 2005, we had already had seven storms by this date. In the remarkably quiet year of 2006, we’d had two. In the average year of 2007, we’d had two. And in the average year of 2008, we’d had four.

The more bored you get with this repetitive report, the more panic stricken Al Gore gets.

Yawn. Wake us up when there’s a hurricane in 2009.

Source: National Hurricane Center

Global Warming Update
Seven weeks into hurricane season: Where are the missing hurricanes?

Al Gore insisted that global warming would bring more and bigger hurricanes, more death, more distruction. Not in 2009.

hurrricane-forecast Today marks the beginning of the seventh week of the official hurricane season. Still no hurricanes, still no tropical storms, still no tropical depressions. The big news is a little cloudiness east of the Windward Islands (Yellow circle #1 on the chart).

In the record breaking 2005 season, we’d already had six storms. In the quiet 2006 season, we’d already had two. In the average 2007 season, we’d already had two. And in the average 2008 season, the fourth storm began a day from now.

Al Gore insisted that global warming would bring more and bigger hurricanes, more death, more distruction, more dislocation, more of everything bad and none of anything good.

We’re waiting, Al.

Source: National Hurricane Center

Global Warming Update: Hurricane season 2009 becoming a huge dud

Bad news for Al Gore and Global Warming alarmists: a light hurricane season had been forecast just a couple months ago. And it’s looking ligher.

hurricane-season-map3

A light hurricane season had been forecast just a couple months ago: “Citing cooler seas and the prospect of a weak El Nino, Colorado State University’s hurricane team lowered its 2009 Atlantic forecast Tuesday to 12 tropical storms, of which six could become hurricanes.”

Even that is now looking too extreme.

Here’s the scorecard a full six weeks into hurricane season 2009:

    Tropical depressions   zero
    Tropical storms          zero
    Hurricanes                 zero
    Major hurricanes        zero

Our forecast: Al Gore and his global warming acolytes will soon begin cranking up the “Yeah, but…” excuse machine.

Source: InsuranceJournal.com National Hurricane Center

Five weeks into hurricane season: No hurricanes, no tropical storms, not even a tropical depression

Remember a few years ago when global warming lunatics claimed that hurricanes were certain to become far more frequent and far more destructive? Not this season.

Oops. The Goracle predicted more frequent hurricanes, more powerful hurricanes.
Oops. The Goracle predicted more frequent hurricanes, more powerful hurricanes.

Remember a few years ago when global warming lunatics claimed that hurricanes were certain to become far more frequent and far more destructive?

To hear Al Gore tell it, you’d soon be able to boil an egg in the surf off Miami Beach.

Never mind.

We just started the sixth week of the 2009 hurricane season and the Atlantic has had no hurricanes, no tropical storms, not even a depression.

In fact, the only depression spotted so far in 2009 is among those same global warming lunatics.

Source: National Hurricane Center

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