Statistics wizard Nate Silver gives his Oscar predictions: Who is Nate Silver? He is the guy that used predictive models to project that Obama would win the 2012 election. We will go out on a limb and affirm that if any of his picks get up to 120 percent of the vote -like Obama did in very strategic areas- they will likely perform as this fellow has suggested. One note of caution however. This is the Oscars and not a Presidential election; the sheeple will be keeping a much closer eye on things.