Back up the moving truck: Low-tax states to gain seats, high-tax states to lose them

by editor on November 21, 2010

We’re not going to get crazy like James Carville and predict 40 years of Republican rule, but let’s just say that the trend is not the liberal’s friend.

beverly-hillbillies

It's like the Beverly Hillbillies in reverse

The Washington Examiner details the relationship between democracy and demography:

Migration from high-tax states to states with lower taxes and less government spending will dramatically alter the composition of future Congresses, according to a study by Americans for Tax Reform

Eight states are projected to gain at least one congressional seat under reapportionment following the 2010 Census: Texas (four seats), Florida (two seats), Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington (one seat each). Their average top state personal income tax rate: 2.8 percent.

By contrast, New York and Ohio are likely to lose two seats each, while Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania will be down one apiece. The average top state personal income tax rate in these loser states: 6.05 percent.

The state and local tax burden is nearly a third lower in states with growing populations, ATR found. As a result, per capita government spending is also lower: $4,008 for states gaining congressional seats, $5,117 for states losing them.

And that’s the problem. Per capita spending goes crazy when politicians lose there capitas.

Source: Washington Examiner

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8 Comments on "Back up the moving truck: Low-tax states to gain seats, high-tax states to lose them"

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KimmyQueen
Guest

This is not complicated nor is it rocket science. I don’t understand why people don’t get it?

rightinwa
Member

The only reason why Washington State still officially has a lower tax rate is because we keep passing initiatives trying to keep our spendthrift state government in check, as well as voting down attempts at a state income tax. But Washington State is infested with liberals, who have been in virtually total control of the state government for 40 years. They never stop trying. If they succeed, there will be a California-style exodus.

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YT
Member

“On the downside, people that move from failed states need to remember not to drag their love for big government with them. If they get the chance to make a fresh start,they should learn from the locals why their area is attractive. Too many people in conservative states get really PO’ed when tax state citizens (MA to NH, for example) want to make their new home look like their old home.”Don’t be too hopeful. They likely have the cause-effect of liberalism and living standards backward. Kind of like the cargo cults of the south pacific. “If we just raise taxes like they were in california, the prosperity is sure to follow!”

Also, this is nothing new. 4 or 5 years ago econ bloggers were taking note of the “U-Haul Index” – the one way van rental price disparity between city pairs. For example, look at commiefornias 4+ years ago
http://www.housingbubblebust.com/UHaulIndex/California.html

Elrond Hubbard
Member

Your right, people bring their political and intellectual baggage with them when they move. People flee liberal, high tax, big spending, job killing states but when they move to conservative, low tax, small spending, job growing states they expect and demand the “services” and “entitlements” they’re used to…so they’ll elect the same type of liberal politicians they had fled and then be baffled when things start going bad in their new state.

thatguy
Guest

If you want an example of this, look at Nevada, or California Jr. Harry Reid will have his job till he retires thanks to all the people who fled CA for NV and are now trying to turn NV in to CA.

perlcat
Member

This is why the republican form of government works. It shows that the only way to totally control government is to bring in competition. That is all the more reason to keep power from accruing to washington — there there is no competition. The oppression from DC is felt nationwide.

On the downside, people that move from failed states need to remember not to drag their love for big government with them. If they get the chance to make a fresh start,they should learn from the locals why their area is attractive. Too many people in conservative states get really PO’ed when tax state citizens (MA to NH, for example) want to make their new home look like their old home.

Reminds me of an IT story. A place I worked had an order entry system that sucked. It couldn’t handle backorders. They wanted a fix. So they bought a new system for $500,000. They didn’t like the interface, so they hired someone to make the new one look like the old. They did. After 2 years and $500,000, the interface looked exactly like the old. Including the fact that they couldn’t handle backorders again. So, for spending $1,000,000, they were exactly where they were when they started.

idiots.

Grammar Fuhrer
Member

Maybe we’ll have a golden age.

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