Too good to be true: Final Gallop Generic Congressional Ballot shows GOP up by 15

The results are from Gallup’s Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot

nancy-pelosi

We’re not religious, but we’re praying that Gallup is right.

nancy-pelosi
The latest Gallup Poll is a real eye opener for Nancy Pelosi. Or maybe it's just her latest nip and tuck.

The results are from Gallup’s Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot — depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup’s analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided…

Fact is, Gallup has a long track record of calling congressional races closer than any other polling group. So let’s assume they’re correct this year, too.

If that’s the case, what’s your prediction? How many seats will Republicans pick up?

Source: Gallup

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