Today marks the beginning of the seventh week of the official hurricane season. Still no hurricanes, still no tropical storms, still no tropical depressions. The big news is a little cloudiness east of the Windward Islands (Yellow circle #1 on the chart).
In the record breaking 2005 season, we’d already had six storms. In the quiet 2006 season, we’d already had two. In the average 2007 season, we’d already had two. And in the average 2008 season, the fourth storm began a day from now.
Al Gore insisted that global warming would bring more and bigger hurricanes, more death, more distruction, more dislocation, more of everything bad and none of anything good.
We’re waiting, Al.
Source: National Hurricane Center
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Al Gore is an idiot.
And central Texas just had the hottest 30-day period ever, according to the left-wing NWS. Al Gore is wrong, but then so are the nay-sayers. Nothing new there.
Texas getting hotter does not discredit naysayers. It makes them right: the climate changes all the time. It’s called weather, solar cycles, and other natural climatological events.
SO, by your reasoning, the ABSENCE of one type of weather phenomenon associated with GW is evidence that it isn’t occurring, while the OCCURENCE of another type of weather phenomenon is evidence that it isn’t occurring.
So, essentially, regardless of any evidence – it isn’t occurring. What a relief.
What you describe, Scott, is exactly exactly the type of reasoning global warming proponents use to fortify their increasingly shaky case.
We were specifically told by a nearly hysterical Al Gore and all his acolytes that global warming would lead directly to more and more destructive hurricanes. It was unavoidable. The oceans were heating like a tea kettle and hurricanes were acomin’.
Instead, hurricanes have diminished over the last four years. So far this year they’ve been non-existent. Gore is the one who took an abnormally high hurricane year and tried to extrapolate it into a disaster of unimaginable proportions.
We’re simply pointing out the folly of his worthless predictions.
This isn’t an isolated piece of “weather.” This is a multi-year trend. Based on everything the Goracle predicted, the last four hurricane seasons were impossible.
Fact of the matter is that we don’t pay any more attention to four year trends than we do to twenty year trends. The earth is billions of years old and four years or thirty years or a hundred years is but a blink of the eye.
The earth has been warming for thousands of years now. The current global warming hysteria is a fraud. And so is Al Gore.
Regarding your claim that the wacky logical gymnastics you were performing are being used by the “global warming proponents,” I don’t see it. I don’t really follow politics so I don’t know exactly what Al Gore said, but there is a mountain of evidence that shows that global warming is real.
The basic premise of global warming is supported by a ton of laboratory studies showing that so-called greenhouse gases can heat up an environment, this is a basic foundation of the atmospheric sciences and as far as I know this is contested by nobody of merit.
Theoretical models can predict the impact of small increases in Co2 and other greenhouse gases on the planetary climate relatively well. These models aren’t perfect but they do an effective job of simulating large scale climatic trends. They form the theoretical foundation to show what increases in greenhouse gases CAN do. Finally, surveys, both paleoclimatic as well as recent that show a persistent and consistent increase in temperature relative to Co2 gases. These show what an increase in greenhouse gases HAS DONE (in the case of paleoclimatological studies) and ARE DOING (in the case of more recent studies). Collectively, that is a heck of allot of evidence supporting the claim that global warming is occurring.
As far as the specific issue of hurricanes and global warming, while it is certainly still an open question if hurricanes are affected by climate change, both theoretical models and climatatological studies show that it is possible for a warmer planet to have more intense hurricanes.
Finally, your claim that the previous 4 hurricane seasons have been diminishing is at best misleading. The 2005 hurricane season was a mutant (in the nonscientific superhero sense) and anything in recorded history is going to be dwarfed by it. As such, the following seasons do appear to be diminishing in size, however compared to the average hurricane season, many are above average.
2006 was below average, however the 2007 season was above average, and 2008 was the third costliest on record. In fact, when one looks at the data, the only average or below average hurricane seasons since 2000 were 2002, 2006 and what looks like 2009 (though remember, 2004 got off to a late start and it turned out to be a rough season).
While I would hesitate to use such as small sample to argue that it shows an increasing trend, it certainly doesn’t show a decreasing trend.
As to why we had weaker hurricane seasons, the one thing they all have in common is that there was an El Nino during each of those seasons. El Nino events are known to cause increases in wind shear which lead to unfavorable environments for hurricanes. As such, there were fewer storms.
So, to summarize, greenhouse gases are known to warm an environment and their levels are increasing in our atmosphere, and your statement about the last 4 hurricane seasons diminishing is spurious as they only appear to diminish because 2005 was such an extreme year.
Have a nice day.
Actually – it looks like this may be the quietest hurricane season ever…
And it may be that one of the effects of global warming is fewer, weaker Atlantic hurricanes. This is just toooooo funny. If we were have a record high season, we’d be hearing about this every day. I’ll just go ahead and say it now, “liberal media”.
David Rogers said “Actually – it looks like this may be the quietest hurricane season ever…”
No offense, but you are wrong. The ATLANTIC hurricane season is definitely quieter than normal (but with 6 named storms, it is certainly not the quietest season ever). The activity in the Eastern-Pacific Hurricane season was above average and there has also been a lot of activity in the Western pacific as well. You may (or may not) be asking why that is the case – the answer (regardless of if you wanted it) is partly due to El Nino. The current El Nino conditions generally result in the trend you are seeing, a quieter Atlantic hurricane season with an above average Eastern-Pacific Season.
I know that those are facts and facts are liberal, but come on. If you are going to make bizarre claims – can’t you at the very least back them up with some kind of whacky pseudoscience?